Weekend Forecast: Salt, Inception, Despicable Me

The big news this weekend is Comic-Con…NOT that Angelina Jolie is playing a powerful female role that was actually written for a guy. Yup – it’s true. That part in Salt was originally created for Tom Cruise, but was re-scripted for a woman. Kind of a cool sub-story.

Anyway, it will be interesting to see whether Inception has the kind of legs Hollywood thinks it does, and whether strong word-of-mouth will keep Inception from being kicked to the number two slot this weekend.

For the record, I’m hoping that Inception will retain the title of the number one movie in America, but I just don’t see it happening. As strong as the word-of-mouth has been for DiCaprio’s mindbender, opening weekend for a Jolie film is just too big of a draw. I think Salt will take the cake with a box office gross of $35-$45 million and Inception will be right behind it around $30-$35 million. I’m not actively rooting against Angelina Jolie – I just feel like Inception is a better film.

After those two films, it gets a little anemic at the box office. Despicable Me should hang around and snag the number three slot with a take in the neighborhood of $15-$19 million. The Sorcerer’s Apprentice heads into week two, but I can’t imagine much of a showing for the Nicolas Cage movie. It did much better than expected with it’s opening weekend, but I think Salt will drill right into it’s core demographic and it will fall to a range of $12-$16 million this weekend.

Twilight Eclipse is still hanging around and I think it should be able to haul in another $5-$7 million. There’s another wide release hitting theaters this weekend, but I don’t think it will generate much interest. Ramona and Beezus hits theaters today and I’m guessing won’t break the $6M mark. That’s okay though. The Selena Gomez movie is only budgeted at $15M and shouldn’t struggle to make that back.

Those are my predictions. We’ll see what happens Monday when the weekend numbers come out!

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